Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 6.980448 7.716690 8.535157 9.519867 10.682400 12.023897 13.707894
2025-02-09 6.009229 7.027162 8.261313 9.899515 12.068165 14.920581 19.104574
2025-02-16 5.328736 6.450909 7.888024 9.924409 12.846638 17.089410 24.164458
2025-02-23 4.944552 6.155357 7.777313 10.207242 13.954317 19.926530 31.278063
2025-03-02 4.455569 5.646800 7.289849 9.844719 13.985747 21.048299 35.911377
2025-03-09 4.097053 5.272838 6.936207 9.609385 14.143372 22.387989 41.609049
2025-03-16 3.832797 5.002614 6.696736 9.505218 14.482313 24.133644 49.231970
2025-03-23 3.707312 4.917698 6.718845 9.816632 15.607809 27.793587 64.600690
2025-03-30 3.458947 4.629362 6.397551 9.502634 15.490199 28.724480 72.766118
2025-04-06 3.233167 4.358824 6.080625 9.156975 15.246403 29.292052 80.366570
2025-04-13 3.029726 4.109356 5.777945 8.802969 14.926184 29.586116 87.417223
2025-04-20 2.903410 3.970772 5.644048 8.739561 15.206185 31.546585 104.602145
2025-04-27 2.890338 4.019610 5.842052 9.358158 17.215207 39.626090 177.527634
2025-05-04 2.826029 3.984597 5.899904 9.729458 18.810194 47.844147 305.744236
2025-05-11 2.714064 3.862974 5.794196 9.753767 19.555338 53.764360 483.314701
2025-05-18 2.648290 3.812208 5.808402 10.029391 21.061161 64.357414 1060.689376
2025-05-25 2.503920 3.619911 5.548679 9.676094 20.697583 66.111836 1516.500547
2025-06-01 2.387801 3.469194 5.354871 9.446665 20.654061 69.658450 2652.530507
2025-06-08 2.297157 3.357011 5.224647 9.345089 20.983277 75.815929 7299.225807
2025-06-15 2.261689 3.337710 5.267793 9.648715 22.708216 93.427450 NaN
2025-06-22 2.159254 3.195706 5.064566 9.342570 22.306011 95.707344 NaN
2025-06-29 2.060142 3.055350 4.856645 9.005415 21.729072 96.220350 NaN
2025-07-06 1.966212 2.920496 4.652538 8.659962 21.060254 95.514611 NaN